摘 要
作为支撑国民经济发展的支柱产业，近几年来，政府大力发展房地产开发，为各方提供了发展机会，但也面临着巨大的挑战。由于施工项目本身具有投资大、规模大、施工周期长等特点，因此施工期是施工能否取得较大成绩的关键因素。这一时期的项目，由于其风险的出现，很容易导致项目的质量、进度、成本和安全等方面的偏离。工程建设期的危险程度是一个衡量工程建设单位整体经营状况的一个重要标志，它直接影响着工程的收益。建筑工程施工期的主要问题是在此过程中，对其进行有效的风险预防。
通过对建筑工程施工期的危险理论的分析和对比，最后采用德尔菲法、Cov-AHP法和模糊综合评判法进行了实证研究。首先介绍了建设工程项目建设项目风险评估的背景和意义，然后对国内外的相关文献进行了梳理和分析，然后对建设项目建设项目建设项目风险评估的基本理论进行了全面的论述，其中包括风险评估概述、建设项目建设项目建设的风险类型、风险管理过程的风险辨识与过程、风险管理的过程和风险的管理。通过对建筑工程施工过程中的各种危险因素进行分析，以期为其在施工过程中的风险控制工作提供一定的参考。
关键词：建设工程项目施工阶段风险 防范 评估
Abstract
As a pillar industry supporting the development of the national economy, the government has vigorously developed real estate development in recent years, providing development opportunities for all parties, but also facing huge challenges. Since the construction project itself has the characteristics of large investment, large scale, long construction period, etc., the construction period is the key factor to achieve greater results. The project in this period, due to its risks, is easy to lead to deviations in quality, progress, cost and safety of the project. The degree of risk during the construction period is an important indicator to measure the overall operation status of the construction unit, which directly affects the income of the project. The main problem in the construction period of the construction project is to effectively prevent risks during this process.
Through the analysis and comparison of the risk theories in the construction period of the construction project, the Delphi method, Cov-AHP method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method are finally used for empirical research. First of all, it introduces the background and significance of risk assessment of construction projects, and then combs and analyzes the relevant literature at home and abroad, and then comprehensively discusses the basic theory of risk assessment of construction projects, including the overview of risk assessment, risk types of construction projects, risk identification and process of risk management process Risk management process and risk management. Through the analysis of various risk factors in the construction process of building engineering, it is expected to provide some reference for the risk control work in the construction process.
Key words: Risks in construction stage of construction project to guard against assessment
目录
摘 要 I
Abstract II
1 前言 1
1.1 研究的背景和意义 1
1.2 国内外研究 2
2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估相关理论 2
2.1 建设工程项目施工阶段风险与风险评估 3
2.1.1 建设工程项目施工阶段风险特点 3
2.1.2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估 3
2.2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险的类型 3
2.3 建设工程项目施工阶段风险管理过程 4
2.4 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估方法 4
3 施工阶段风险评估指标体系和模型的构建 4
3.1 施工阶段风险评估指标体系的构建思路 4
3.2 指标的选取原则 5
3.3 施工阶段风险评估指标体系的建立 6
4 施工阶段风险评估的实证分析 6
4.1 宝地集团银河广场项目概况 6
4.2 项目选择及数据来源说明 7
4.3 施工阶段风险评估 7
4.3.1 评估指标数据 7
4.3.2 评估结果分析 7
5 建设工程项目施工阶段风险的防范措施 8
5.1 项目业主风险的防范措施 8
5.2 政府风险的防范措施 9
5.3 自然风险的防范措施 9
5.4 项目本身风险的防范措施 10
5.5 施工单位风险的防范措施 10
6 结论 11
参考文献 12
致 谢 14
作为支撑国民经济发展的支柱产业，近几年来，政府大力发展房地产开发，为各方提供了发展机会，但也面临着巨大的挑战。由于施工项目本身具有投资大、规模大、施工周期长等特点，因此施工期是施工能否取得较大成绩的关键因素。这一时期的项目，由于其风险的出现，很容易导致项目的质量、进度、成本和安全等方面的偏离。工程建设期的危险程度是一个衡量工程建设单位整体经营状况的一个重要标志，它直接影响着工程的收益。建筑工程施工期的主要问题是在此过程中，对其进行有效的风险预防。
通过对建筑工程施工期的危险理论的分析和对比，最后采用德尔菲法、Cov-AHP法和模糊综合评判法进行了实证研究。首先介绍了建设工程项目建设项目风险评估的背景和意义，然后对国内外的相关文献进行了梳理和分析，然后对建设项目建设项目建设项目风险评估的基本理论进行了全面的论述，其中包括风险评估概述、建设项目建设项目建设的风险类型、风险管理过程的风险辨识与过程、风险管理的过程和风险的管理。通过对建筑工程施工过程中的各种危险因素进行分析，以期为其在施工过程中的风险控制工作提供一定的参考。
关键词：建设工程项目施工阶段风险 防范 评估
Abstract
As a pillar industry supporting the development of the national economy, the government has vigorously developed real estate development in recent years, providing development opportunities for all parties, but also facing huge challenges. Since the construction project itself has the characteristics of large investment, large scale, long construction period, etc., the construction period is the key factor to achieve greater results. The project in this period, due to its risks, is easy to lead to deviations in quality, progress, cost and safety of the project. The degree of risk during the construction period is an important indicator to measure the overall operation status of the construction unit, which directly affects the income of the project. The main problem in the construction period of the construction project is to effectively prevent risks during this process.
Through the analysis and comparison of the risk theories in the construction period of the construction project, the Delphi method, Cov-AHP method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method are finally used for empirical research. First of all, it introduces the background and significance of risk assessment of construction projects, and then combs and analyzes the relevant literature at home and abroad, and then comprehensively discusses the basic theory of risk assessment of construction projects, including the overview of risk assessment, risk types of construction projects, risk identification and process of risk management process Risk management process and risk management. Through the analysis of various risk factors in the construction process of building engineering, it is expected to provide some reference for the risk control work in the construction process.
Key words: Risks in construction stage of construction project to guard against assessment
目录
摘 要 I
Abstract II
1 前言 1
1.1 研究的背景和意义 1
1.2 国内外研究 2
2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估相关理论 2
2.1 建设工程项目施工阶段风险与风险评估 3
2.1.1 建设工程项目施工阶段风险特点 3
2.1.2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估 3
2.2 建设工程项目施工阶段风险的类型 3
2.3 建设工程项目施工阶段风险管理过程 4
2.4 建设工程项目施工阶段风险评估方法 4
3 施工阶段风险评估指标体系和模型的构建 4
3.1 施工阶段风险评估指标体系的构建思路 4
3.2 指标的选取原则 5
3.3 施工阶段风险评估指标体系的建立 6
4 施工阶段风险评估的实证分析 6
4.1 宝地集团银河广场项目概况 6
4.2 项目选择及数据来源说明 7
4.3 施工阶段风险评估 7
4.3.1 评估指标数据 7
4.3.2 评估结果分析 7
5 建设工程项目施工阶段风险的防范措施 8
5.1 项目业主风险的防范措施 8
5.2 政府风险的防范措施 9
5.3 自然风险的防范措施 9
5.4 项目本身风险的防范措施 10
5.5 施工单位风险的防范措施 10
6 结论 11
参考文献 12
致 谢 14
